Future Conflict Risk
by Meia Geddes
Read this article on a study by the National Intelligence Council. The study is fascinating. The future condensed! Let’s remember to look back at it and see how accurate it is. Here’s an excerpt (vague though it may be):
About 50 countries around the world will be at risk of internal conflict or wars with neighbors, the study says, most sparked by increasing nationalism and border rivalries fought out in the absence of any regional security architecture to resolve them.
The risk of conflict within a state — like a civil war or an insurgency — is expected to decline in Latin America, but will remain high in sub-Saharan Africa, in parts of the Middle East and South Asia, as well as in some Asia-Pacific island hot spots, the study warns.
“A more fragmented international system increases the risks” of conflict between states, the study also cautions. “Additionally, increased resource competition, spread of lethal technologies and spillover from regional conflicts increase the potential for interstate conflicts.”
Most worrisome — and already part of the global security dynamic — is an assessment that future wars in Asia and the Middle East could include nuclear weapons.
Too bad we can’t run the world like a Soccer World cup. 136 countries can get along for the World cup. Maybe we need same men to run countries? I have great concern for our world.
Although even World Cup/other games have gotten awfully violent…
There is some violence. Men are always foolish. But good to see the world enjoying competition and celebrating together. The world need similar goals and try to solve problems without killing off the great cities and taking down great countries. World will never be perfect. We need to know. This is one world and one people. In the end. Every life is important.
Agreed!